Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.423609 0.496873 0.576943 0.670676 0.777106 0.893905 1.031477
2025-01-19 0.298369 0.394042 0.509119 0.656483 0.838800 1.055504 1.330953
2025-01-26 0.231359 0.337912 0.476746 0.667959 0.921104 1.241051 1.671707
2025-02-02 0.185102 0.295528 0.449783 0.675806 0.992377 1.413021 2.005783
2025-02-09 0.150836 0.261238 0.425447 0.679581 1.053320 1.571550 2.330475
2025-02-16 0.128530 0.239568 0.414216 0.697743 1.132583 1.757716 2.703171
2025-02-23 0.108584 0.217280 0.397617 0.703832 1.192065 1.917509 3.047094
2025-03-02 0.087216 0.187990 0.364670 0.678704 1.199291 1.998519 3.279038
2025-03-09 0.076815 0.176398 0.359297 0.696947 1.274816 2.185783 3.679148
2025-03-16 0.067004 0.163885 0.350154 0.706924 1.336494 2.354260 4.059144
2025-03-23 0.062027 0.160194 0.356454 0.744218 1.446183 2.604855 4.580534
2025-03-30 0.053039 0.146009 0.340501 0.738702 1.480765 2.734664 4.915568
2025-04-06 0.044621 0.131503 0.322178 0.727320 1.505216 2.851501 5.240686
2025-04-13 0.037829 0.119317 0.306770 0.719669 1.535504 2.979945 5.592491
2025-04-20 0.033715 0.112943 0.302880 0.734498 1.608536 3.186269 6.086097
2025-04-27 0.029775 0.106070 0.296756 0.743774 1.671260 3.377583 6.563295
2025-05-04 0.026079 0.098929 0.288843 0.748111 1.724216 3.553837 7.022484
2025-05-11 0.023676 0.095021 0.288090 0.767900 1.809225 3.792843 7.603294
2025-05-18 0.020929 0.089295 0.281872 0.774531 1.867571 3.985165 8.109167
2025-05-25 0.017158 0.079018 0.262093 0.747267 1.852709 4.038102 8.364279
2025-06-01 0.015676 0.076292 0.262132 0.767070 1.939174 4.289203 8.994233
2025-06-08 0.014047 0.072536 0.258689 0.777897 2.006752 4.506784 9.570946
2025-06-15 0.013483 0.072773 0.266772 0.818351 2.142420 4.864814 10.426132